Primary voters may tip state Senate race

April 19 special election could shift the balance of power in Albany

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All eyes will be on New York on April 19, when voters head to the polls in the first significant presidential primary in the state in nearly 30 years.

“There is no question that this is the first time I can remember that the Democratic nomination is still in play,” said Nassau County Democratic Party Chairman Jay Jacobs. “I don’t remember a case where both parties were competing so vigorously in the primary on the same day in New York.”

Even in relatively high-turnout years such as 2008 — and so far, 2016 — primaries attract far fewer voters than general elections, according to the Pew Research Center, but this year’s primary will coincide with the most important state election this year, one that could tip the balance of power in the State Senate: the special election for former Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos’s 9th District seat, which he vacated when he was convicted of felony corruption charges in December.

Because voters will be offered two separate ballots, local party officials said that the presidential primary could potentially sway the outcome of the Senate race among State Assemblyman Todd Kaminksy (D-Long Beach), Republican Chris McGrath and Green Party candidate Laurence “Seth” Hirsh.

“The challenge for [McGrath and Kaminsky] is getting their message out in a short period of time and at a time when there is a presidential campaign that is not only eating up all the oxygen, but turning off a lot of people with all the negativity,” said Jim Moriarty, chairman of the Long Beach Republican Committee, who is supporting McGrath. “And that certainly poses a challenge for both candidates.”

Some party leaders have said that voter turnout for the primary is expected to be strong as well, with former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont vying for the Democratic nomination in Clinton’s adopted state. Meanwhile, Republican Donald Trump is favored over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich on Trump’s home turf.

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